Time Series Forecasting with SARIMA -Application to COVID-19 Pandemic Data

Marcelo Guarido

This lab will be a technical presentation and demonstration of the use of the R library Modeltime for time series forecasting, and all the theory behind the seasonal ARIMA (or SARIMA) model. We are living through the historic moment of the COVID-19 pandemic, so it actually makes sense for us to use our analytical skills to understand better the evolution of the pandemic and how to forecast it. For that, we will use the data from the COVID-19 Data Repository by the Center for Systems Science and Engineering (CSSE) at Johns Hopkins University.